Stop trying to ground the Gulf airlines
Transcrição
Stop trying to ground the Gulf airlines
Syndicated articles from In partnership with © The Financial Times Limited 2015. All Rights Reserved. Not to be redistributed, copied or modified in any way. Edition 2275 FT | 23 Mar 2015 ANALYSIS | BUSINESS BLOOMBERG AP PHOTO Stop trying to ground the Gulf airlines A Finnair Oyj aircraft stands beside a passenger walkway as a Boeing 737-300 passenger aircraft operated by Emirates is seen beyond at Dusseldorf airport By John Gapper Nicole Kidman looks very relaxed in Etihad Airways’ new advertisements, as she floats gently down on to a bed in its three-room Residence first-class cabin - a mere USD20,000 to fly Abu Dhabi to London. The same cannot be said of rivals to Etihad, Emirates and Qatar, the Gulf airlines that are roiling the business of air travel. The bosses of Emirates and Etihad flew to Washington last week, presumably in comfort, to rebut complaints from US airlines that they compete unfairly. American Airlines, Delta and United did better in the past, when global competition was muted and Americans flying abroad were sufficiently loyal, or unworldly, to book business-class seats that did not lie flat. US airlines are not the only ones feeling sore. The French and German governments, prodded by Lufthansa and Air France-KLM, have complained to the EU. Lufthansa is unhappy about what it calls “unprecedented cut-throat competition in the international marketplace” - the sort of thing that benefits consumers. Ah yes, consumers. In their 55-page “white paper” attacking the Gulf airlines, the US airlines only find space for that word once, in the opening passage about the original aims of the Open Skies deal that allows Gulf airlines to fly to cities such as New York, San Francisco and Washington. After that, they discuss passenger flow and traffic quite a lot, but the C word is absent. What about workers? This word recurs frequently because Gulf airlines are not unionised, whereas US airlines are. The document includes in its $42bn of “unfair subsidies” $3.1bn for lower wages caused by the fact that the Gulf states ban unions. This is a peculiar notion, given that only 7 per cent of US private-sector workers are unionised. This Washington lobbying sounds distinctly like companies that used to provide mediocre services in ageing aircraft on international flights, People enjoy watching a U.S. carrier Delta Air Lines’ plane landing at the Narita International Airport and only responded to competition belatedly, complaining about more energetic rivals. Willie Walsh, chief executive of IAG, owner of British Airways and Iberia, wrote recently of “protectionism rearing its head again”. Customers enjoy what the Gulf airlines offer. Many Americans now connect through the Gulf on route to the Indian subcontinent and Southeast Asia, rather than paying more to fly direct on a US airline. The Gulf carriers have sucked business from European hubs - Dubai has surpassed Heathrow as the busiest international airport. They have done so fast, Etihad was only founded in 2003, by exploiting their natural advantages brilliantly. The first is location. The Gulf sits at a crossroads on the “new Silk Road” between east and west, and has emerged as a continental hub for sub-Saharan This Washington lobbying sounds distinctly like companies that used to provide mediocre services JOHN GAPPER Africa. The only geographical crossroads the US forms is with itself. The second advantage is starting from scratch, without the legacy practices the US airlines and European flag carriers face. The Gulf carriers are the second wave of the low-cost revolution started by Southwest Airlines in 1971 after a failed legal campaign to block it by US airlines including Continental (now part of United), for skirting federal regulation. The Gulf airlines have taken the essentials of that model - newer aircraft, flying from airports with lower fees direct to smaller cities rather than through hubs, with better service - and applied it globally. They are the most eager customers of Boeing and Airbus for the latest, most fuel-efficient models of large widebody jets such as the Boeing 777 and the Airbus 380. They have come out of nowhere, now followed by Turkish Airlines, to steal a march on older airlines. “There are always disrupters who change the game and make the incumbents squeal. There might be aspects of unfair competition at the margins but it misses the central point that they came up with a more efficient way of doing The bosses of Emirates and Etihad flew to Washington to rebut complaints from US airlines that they compete unfairly things,” says Jonathan Wober, financial analyst at the Capa Centre for Aviation. Their third advantage is being owned by determined, autocratic governments that want to turn their economies into trading hubs rather than simply living off oil and gas wealth. Dubai, the poor cousin of Abu Dhabi, was the first to try and gained hugely, with aviation and related activity such as tourism now forming a quarter of its economy. Has it done so unfairly? The evidence is flimsy. Ignoring the alleged unfairness of Emirates not having to negotiate with unions, the US airlines came up with about $5bn of “subsidies” over a decade largely the Dubai government assuming lossmaking fuel hedges in 2009 (a claim dismissed as “tosh” by Tim Clark, Emirates’ chief executive) and $2.3bn attributed to low airport charges. The latter is a head-scratcher. Yes, it costs nearly 10 times as much to land a Boeing 777 at Heathrow as at Dubai, and nearly six times as much at Chicago O’Hare. But Dubai has a lot of desert and can build a gigantic airport when it feels like it. This makes it cheaper, but so what? Does the rest of the world complain that the US has plenty of arable land and shale gas? Even taken at face value, the figures are hardly game-changing. Over a decade, USD5bn is $500m per year - about 2.3 per cent of Emirates’ operating costs in 2014. The truth is that most of the Gulf success stems not from illicit subsidies but from innovation, exploiting their advantages fairly and making a bet that paid off. Good luck to them. Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2015 23.03.2015 Syndicated articles from F2 © The Financial Times Limited 2015. All Rights Reserved. Not to be redistributed, copied or modified in any way. AP PHOTO Nobel Prize winner Kailash Satyarthi on battling child labor Kailash Satyarthi By Amy Kazmin Kailash Satyarthi the Indian Nobel laureate who has spent a lifetime battling child labor, arrives for our early afternoon meeting. “You reached here before me,” he says apologetically, stepping into the small, austere living room of his government-built flat in Alaknanda, a middle-class neighborhood in Delhi. The 61-year-old founder of Bachpan Bachao Andolan, or Save Childhood Movement, has been in overdrive since October last year, when he and Pakistani schoolgirl Malala Yousafzai were jointly awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in recognition of their “struggle against the suppression of children and young people”. Satyarthi is making the most of his new global profile. He has recently met US President Barack Obama, the Prince of Wales, UN secretary-general Ban Ki-moon and other global leaders, urging them to push for the elimination of child slavery to be included in the UN’s new sustainable development goals, now being negotiated. Doors are also opening at home in India, where Satyarthi has spoken to powerful New Delhi political and business elites, students and small town industrialists. These are crucial audiences in a country where, according to Unicef, about 28m children under the age of 14 are working, around two-thirds in agriculture, especially as New Delhi considers whether to push ahead with a law to ban all employ- nitely insist that you have lunch with us”. Sumedha Kailash has been an active part of her husband’s crusade but their unlikely union faced stiff resistance. “It was a very revolutionary marriage,” recalls the activist, who was born Kailash Sharma, and adopted the surname Satyarthi, or Satyarthi is making the most of his new global profile. He has recently met Barack Obama, the Prince of Wales, Ban Kimoon and other global leaders ment of such young children. Satyarthi sinks into one of two black vinyl sofas in the modest sitting area. It is utilitarian, with a few paintings on the white walls. It also has little natural light, so we move outside to bask in the winter sun on a small outdoor terrace lined with potted plants. A bamboo fence offers privacy from a home just a few feet away, across a narrow lane. Settling into the cane chairs, Satyarthi warns, “my wife will come any time and she will defi- “seeker of truth”, later. He was the youngest son of a police constable and illiterate housewife in the small town of Vidisha in India’s Hindi heartland. His future wife was the scion of a prosperous Delhi publishing family. Satyarthi was an engineering student when he started contributing to one of the magazines published by Sumedha’s family; she was his editor. He met her while visiting Delhi in 1976. Both families objected when they announced their intention to marry. His elder brothers were already receiving proposals from families eager to marry their daughters to an engineer-to-be. Her family didn’t consider a smalltown boy from a humble family as an appropriate match, despite his being a Brahmin - on the highest rung of Hinduism’s hierarchical caste ladder. “It was not caste - they were very particular about the status,” he says. In October 1978, Satyarthi received a desperate call from his sweetheart. Her father had abruptly delivered an ultimatum: the couple could marry in five days’ time - on a Sunday - or forget about each other. Five days later, they married in a simple temple ceremony in Delhi, returning to Vidisha that same night. It was already clear that Satyarthi would not pursue an engineering career. He had been disturbed by the plight of poor children since his school days, when boys his own age stood on the schoolhouse steps waiting to polish the shoes of arriving students. Aged 11, he displayed an early impulse for social activism, organizing a campaign to collect used textbooks for students whose families couldn’t af- ford them. Not all his initiatives worked, however. At 15, he tried to hold a taboo-busting dinner to honor Mahatma Gandhi’s birth centenary, with sweeper women - considered to be “untouchable” cooking for high-caste local dignitaries. Yet the guests failed to show, and Brahmin community elders declared Satyarthi an “outcaste”, forcing his own family to bar him from their kitchen or risk being boycotted themselves. “I was given a separate room that opened on the street, and I was not allowed to enter into my kitchen,” he recalls. “I did not care, but it was so difficult for my mother, who used to eat with me every day. She could not do it because she was frightened of the neighborhood.” After getting married, Satyarthi lectured in engineering for 18 months to earn some money. In 1980 he, his wife and baby son moved to Delhi, where their home was a small storeroom that they sublet from a civil servant. Outside, “they built a kind of shed - half of it was kitchen and half of it was bathroom,” he says. Satyarthi began writing about social issues for national newspapers, then started a small magazine dedicated to the cause of children, wom- en, and India’s most marginalised people. But when an impoverished brick-kiln worker travelled from Punjab to Delhi seeking help to save his daughter from being sold into prostitution, Satyarthi leapt from journalism to fully fledged activism. He became known for his dramatic, and often dangerous, rescues of children working in industries such as carpet-making, which put the issue of child labor on the political agenda. In 1986, India passed its first law against child labor, banning children under the age of 14 from hazardous industries such as mining and chemicals. Back in their “storeroom house”, there were frequent tensions. “Many poor people used to come to meet me and my wife, and my wife was cooking food for those whose children were kidnapped or held in bondage,” says Satyarthi. “My landlady didn’t like it.” After a few years, the family moved to the slum area of Govindpuri, in South Delhi, where they had greater autonomy. Then in 1996, the couple, who had since had a daughter, bought their current home, a 90 sq metre, ground-floor flat built by the Delhi Development Authority, a state agency charged with building affordable housing. The family home is functional, with two small bedrooms and basic furniture, such as a metal dining table with six chairs. There are lots of family photos and a fine Madhubani painting the traditional art form of India’s impoverished Bihar state. The sunken sitting area is cosy, with low banquettes, a colourfully covered mattress on the floor, lots of soft pillows with embroidered cushion covers, and a large flatscreen television. Built as an add-on to the original unit, Satyarthi says the inviting nook is now the family’s favorite space. The couple’s two children are both adults now and live elsewhere, but the house remains an open, busy place, with a constant flow of guests, including work colleagues, visiting activists and others seeking Satyarthi’s help. “In my 35 years of married life, I cannot recall two consecutive evenings when we ate alone. There are always guests. We live like that,” he says. Using the ancient Persian word for a travellers’ inn, he adds, “my house is like a big serai”. Amy Kazmin is the FT’s south Asia correspondent Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2015 mon 23.03.2015 By Juan Pablo Spinetto and Yasmine Batista F OR investors with dollars, the dream of a condominium by Rio de Janeiro’s most famous beaches is suddenly within reach, just in time for the Olympic Games. A 467-square-meter four-bedroom apartment with views of ocean swells rolling up on Ipanema Beach sells for 17 million reais, or USD5.2 million. That’s about half the price in dollars from a year ago thanks to sliding property prices and a rout in the local currency, according to Judice & Araujo, a Rio-based luxury home broker. A 39 percent decline in the real the past two years, the most among 16 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg, is starting to entice foreign investors, said Frederico Judice Araujo, a partner in the company. Fueled by a surge of expatriate oil and mining workers, Rio was the world’s 12th most-expensive city in 2011 - ahead of New York and London. It has since fallen to 65th, according to cost of living studies by consulting company Mercer. “Things for foreign buyers are getting better and better,” Judice Araujo said by telephone. “There are people that weren’t active in the market a few months ago that are now considering some buying opportunities at more attractive prices.” The discovery of elephant oil fields buried miles beneath a layer of salt in the Atlantic seabed in 2007 boosted demand for residential and office space as the energy industry mobilized to extract the newfound riches. Flagship oil company Petroleo Brasileiro SA lured oil equipment and service suppliers to start or expand operations in an effort to win work in what was expected to be a growing profit center for the offshore oil specialists. Then the announcement in 2009 that Rio would host the 2016 Olympic Games sent the city into a building frenzy, with government officials rushing to double hotel capacity, extend subway lines and modernize airports and renovate entire neighborhoods. “The massive investments in pre-salt required by Petrobras attracted a lot of companies in the oil and gas segment,” Cristiane Spercel, a homebuilders analyst at Moody’s Investors Service, said in a telephone interview. “Now, with all the delays, the cutbacks in capital expenditures, the investigations into large construction companies, we see a slowdown.” Judice Araujo said prices for luxury apartments in Rio’s Zona Sul, the city’s most upscale district, fell 10 percent to 12 percent last year and have continued sliding at a more moderate pace since December. FEATURE F3 AP PHOTO 特刊 A worker stands on the balcony of an apartment inside the Rio 2016 Olympic Games athletes village in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil Dream condo on Rio’s Ipanema Beach 50 percent cheaper as Real falls Now, with all the delays, the cutbacks in capital expenditures, the investigations into large construction companies, we see a slowdown CRISTIANE SPERCEL To be sure, day-to-day life in Rio isn’t all sunshine and samba. The city of 6.3 million people has one of the continent’s biggest slums, Rocinha, and muggings jumped 31 percent last year to 48,972, according to data from Rio de Janeiro state. Olympic- related construction is disrupting traffic across the city, including in the exclusive neighborhoods of Ipanema and Leblon. Efforts to halt sewa- ge flowing into the Guanabara Bay, which will host Olympic sailing events, won’t be completed in time for the Games. Rio’s dependence on locallybased commodity companies like Petrobras and miner Vale SA has also put the city’s economic outlook on precarious ground. Petrobras has banned more than 20 companies which have been cited in bribery investigations from bidding for new contracts at a time oil prices have collapsed due to growing production and faltering demand. A lack of consensus over graft costs has delayed the release of Petrobras’s earnings and temporally shut it out of international debt markets, threatening the company’s spending plans. Company officials are taking longer to sign or renew contracts and release the results of public tenders, said three people familiar with recent Petrobras procurement negotiations, who asked not to be identified because the deals aren’t public. That’s freezing the oil and gas supply chain and sending shock waves in Rio, from the real estate to the executive recruitment market. “We have some cases of commercial tenants, who were Petrobras suppliers, who haven’t been collecting and are behind on rent,” said Leonardo Schneider, the vice president of Rio’s branch of Secovi, an association of real estate agencies. “These executives, these professionals that work at the companies that are changing and shutting down, also have their homes and their expenses.” A 39 percent decline in the real the past two years is starting to entice foreign investors The slowdown in the energy industry coincides with a surplus of new properties in Rio, leading to a weaker real estate market, said Pedro de Seixas Correa, a professor at the Getulio Vargas Foundation specializing in the construction industry. “The market is suffering this negative economic outlook and will continue doing so,” he said in a phone interview. “When we have a reduction in business ac- tivity, revenue falls and the real estate market is immediately impacted.” Selling prices in local currency for three-bedroom apartments in Rio rose 4.5 percent in the year through February, the slowest since at least 2008, according to the FipeZap home price index. That’s below the city’s inflation rate and compares with annual increases of as much as 45 percent in 2011. Brazil’s economy unexpectedly contracted for the secondstraight month in January as the government tightens both fiscal and monetary policies to tame inflation. Analysts surveyed by the central bank on Monday cut their 2015 GDP forecast for the 11th straight week, to a contraction of 0.78 percent. That would be Brazil’s worst performance since the economy shrank 4.2 percent in 1990. But bad news for Brazil’s economy may be a good lure for foreign buyers, said Darlan Carlos Souza, a partner at Rio-based real estate agent Wagner Diniz Imoveis. “We did some surprising sales paid in cash, without the need for financing,” he said in an interview. “Those who saved their money are doing a great business buying now.” Bloomberg NATURE F4 23.03.2015 mon 自然 Iceberg forces detour in 5th leg of Volvo Ocean Race AP PHOTO Meanwhile, one of the sailors, Swede Martin Stromberg of Dongfeng Race Team, has told how he narrowly avoided losing several fingers of his right hand when he trapped it in a winch block on Saturday. “I could easily have lost a few fingers,” he wrote in his regular blog from the boat. “My hand went into the block and was stuck for a while by the rope until I got help. The massive iceberg was spotted on the Race HQ satellite screens at the end of last week V OLVO Ocean Race crews are speeding through the Southern Ocean toward Cape Horn in the fifth leg yesterday after organizers guided them clear of a 1-kilometre wide iceberg that was blocking their path. The massive iceberg was spotted on the Race HQ satellite screens at the end of last week and has led to a hasty change in the positioning of ice gates in the toughest of all nine stages in the nine-month offshore marathon. The ice limits will force the boats to sail clear of the iceberg’s passage in the Southern Ocean. Crews will be penalized if they sail over these boundaries toward hazardous areas. The iceberg itself is not the major hazard. Growlers — or chunks of ice that have broken off it — are a more potent threat as they can be unseen by the crews until the last minute. The fleet had already been delayed three days in the previous port of Auckland, New Zealand, to avoid the worst of Cyclone Pam, which has claimed at least 16 lives in the South Pacific archipelago of Vanuatu. The six boats nevertheless made the most of high winds on the tail of the cyclone after setting off last Wednesday, and made quicker progress through the South Pacific than anticipated. Organizers to bring forward the expected time of arrival in leg five’s destination port of Itajai, Brazil, to April 4 from April 7. “I thought I would lose some fingers, but I was lucky with some flesh wounds and blue fingers. It will hurt for the rest of the leg.” Team Brunel of the Netherlands currently lead the leg from Turkish-U.S. entry Team Alvimedica, with overall race leaders, Abu Dhabi Ocean Racing, Team SCA of Sweden, Spain’s MAPFRE and the Dongfeng Race Team of China closely bunched behind them. In all, the boats will cover 38,739 nautical miles (71,745 kilometers, 44,642 miles), visit 11 ports and every continent. The nine-month event, held every three years, concludes on June 27 in Gothenburg, Sweden. AP ASK THE VET by Dr Ruan Du Toit Bester 4 Vaccines your puppy should have P UPPY vaccines are crucial to your puppy’s good health. Newborn puppies receive antibodies through their mother’s milk; after your puppy is weaned and as its immune system is strengthening, it needs vaccinations to help its body form new antibodies against disease. Here are the four core dog vaccinations your puppy needs for good health. PARVOVIRUS VACCINE Parvovirus is one the most common infectious dog disease in the world. Parvovirus is spread through contact with infected feces; the virus can live on inanimate surfaces such as feeding dishes and clothing, making it virtually impossible to stop its spread. Parvovirus is deadly and treatment is costly. Your puppy needs a parvo vaccine. CANINE DISTEMPER VACCINE Canine distemper is another serious ill- ness that can be deadly. The canine distemper virus attacks the central nervous system, leading to seizures and death. While dogs can recover from distemper even in its late stages, the disease can leave them with permanent brain damage. Like parvo, canine distemper is a viral disease and therefore difficult to treat. The most vets can do is to treat the symptoms of the disease to give your dog’s immune system a chance to fight back. Puppies do not have fully developed immune systems, and so they are vulnerable to viral diseases. A canine distemper vaccination is among the four core vaccinations recommended by vets. RABIES VACCINE In Macau, rabies vaccines are required by law. Rabies in dogs causes aggressive behavior, seizures and death. Rabies is a particularly dangerous disease because it is both deadly and contagious to humans. Rabies spreads through the saliva of the infected animal, and rabid animals are much more likely to attack because the disease makes them aggressive. Dogs are often vulnerable to rabies because they can come in contact will small animals who might be infected with the disease. CANINE HEPATITIS VACCINE Canine hepatitis is another viral disease that can kill your puppy if it isn’t treated quickly. Canine hepatitis can kill puppies in a matter of hours, before symptoms even manifest. Even if your dog recovers from canine hepatitis infection, it will never be the same. It will be more vulnerable to kidney infections and may suffer serious permanent damage to its liver and eyesight. Your dog can also continue to carry and spread canine hepatitis for up to nine months following its recovery, creating a high risk of infection for other dogs with whom it has contact. Hope this helps Till next week Dr Ruan Ask the Vet: Royal Veterinary Centre Tel: +853 28501099, +853 28523678 Emergency: +853 62662268 Email: [email protected]