Deutsche Bank
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Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank Andean Region Conference London, May, 2016 This presentation may include forward-looking comments regarding the Company’s business outlook and anticipated financial and operating results. These expectations are highly dependent on the economy, the airline industry, commodity prices, international markets and external events. Therefore, they are subject to change and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this presentation. More information on the risk factors that could affect our results are contained on our Form 20-F for the year ended December 31, 2015. Information, tables and logos contained in this presentation may not be used without consent from LATAM Airlines Group S.A. LATAM Business Model 3 Investment Highlights World class airline operator Unique regional network with presence in 6 Home markets LATAM Airlines compares to largest international carriers 3x its next largest South American competitor in terms of revenues Strong market position in countries with high growth potential Number 1 or 2 in all the Home markets where LATAM operates Compared to developed countries, Latin America has low trips per capita rates Strong long term traffic growth expectations for the region Diversified business operations 4 different business units with presence in 6 different countries Solid long term hub strategy (Santiago, Lima, Brasilia, Sao Paulo) Low cost business model in all of LATAM’s domestic operations Flexible and comprehensive business strategy Maximize efficiency and cost reductions Capture the preference of customers Best network of destinations One of the most modern fleets in Latin America and in the World Average fleet age of ~7.0 years One of the first airlines in the region to start renewing its fleet Lower unscheduled maintenance costs and lower fuel consumption 4 LATAM is the largest airline group in Latin America Unique regional platform provides LATAM with a competitive advantage Dom. Colombia 22% market share #2 Dom. Ecuador 33% market share #2 Dom. Brazil 37% market share Dom. Peru 62% market share #1 #1 6 Home markets (~90% of regional traffic) ~50% Market share intra-regional flights 3x its next competitor in terms of revenues Dom. Chile 75% market share #1 Dom. Argentina 25% market share #2 Data as of December 31, 2015 5 LATAM has diversified sources of revenue Revenue by Business Unit Revenue by Geographic Area Others 5% Cargo 13% Chile 16% International 42% Domestic SSC 17% APAC & Other Latin America; 7% Peru 7% Argentina 10% U.S.A 11% Ecuador 2% Europe 7% Colombia 4% Domestic Brazil 23% Total = US$10,126mm Data as of December 31, 2015 Brazil 36% 14.2 million members 73% owned by LATAM Total = US$10,126mm 6 Latin America continues to offer significant growth potential Passenger traffic growth estimates Trips per capita 2014 (RPKs 2015–2034) 2015 Growth 10.0% 6.2% 8.6% 6.1% 6.7% 6.0% 2.9% - 5.1% 4.3% World Average 4.9% 5.7% 3.8% 3.7% Ecuador 0.50 Argentina 0.50 Peru 0.54 Mexico 0.55 Brazil 0.56 Colombia 3.1% Chile 0.71 1.02 USA UK Middle East Asia Latin Pacific America Africa Europe CIS 2.68 3.73 North America Includes domestic and international trips by all carriers. (Boeing, IATA and LATAM estimates); “2015 Growth” represents actual figures published by IATA 7 One of the Most Modern Fleets in Latin America and the World LATAM is one of the first airlines in the region to start renewing its fleet The average age of LATAM’s fleet is approx. 7.0 years, making it one of the most modern in Latin America and in the world Modern fleet allows for lower unscheduled maintenance costs, lower fuel consumption, and operational and cost efficiencies achieved through operating fewer fleet types Flexible fleet arrangements to respond to market conditions Short Haul Long Haul Seats Dec.2015 2018 144 50 - A320/N 168-174 154 + A321/N 220 36 + A319 Total 240 Seats Dec.2015 2018 A330 223 10 B767 221-238 38 - B787-8/9 247-313 17 + A350 348 1 + B777 363 10 - Total 76 9 LATAM defined its strategy and aspiration Be the leading airline group in South America and one of the top airline groups in the world Network leadership Customer experience Cost competitiveness We are the best and most convenient option for customers because we offer more destinations with better schedule and competitive price Customers want to choose us because of our customer experience and of what our brand stands for Competitors can’t afford pricing us out of existing markets or keep us away from new markets Strengthening the use of regional hubs Focus on increasing NPS Reaffirm cost competitiveness Strengthen partnership and alliances Focus on generating one brand Consolidate cost improvement culture Manage our fleet models best suited for each market 8 Network: Strengthening the use of hubs Key trends Map of LATAM’s hubs 2016 New flights Bogota Sao Paulo Johannesburgo Lima Washington D.C Montevideo Antofagasta Salta Rosario Mendoza North East Lima Brasilia Sao Paulo Santiago LATAM hubs Connecting flows 10 Network: Two new joint business agreements American Airlines IAG 12 Customer Experience: Continuous Improvement Airport Check-in unification implemented at our 10 main airports Self bag tag is being tested in two airports (GRU,BSB) VIP Lounge: GRU, BOG, EZE, SCL Contingency and Contact Center Live Chat now available in flights from SCL, LIM and BOG Flight Status available in LAN.com and LAN APP Digital Wireless entertainment system for personal devices in our narrow body fleet. New app that allows passengers to be in charge of their own journey. New Brand implementation Visibility starting on May 2016 Process of implementation over a 3 year period 11 Cost Initiatives: Reduction target of 5% Work Fronts Fuel, Fees,& Fleet Operational Labor Overhead Procurement Distribution & Commissions Other TOTAL Main Cost Saving Drivers ▪ Fuel Efficiency Initiatives ▪ Supply Chain Efficiency ▪ Crews ▪ Contact Center ▪ Project Simplification Cost Saving (%) 2% 7% 20% ▪ Project Total Cost of Ownership 7% ▪ Passenger Service System ▪ Channel Mix 8% ▪ Financial and Others 18% 5% 13 Cost Initiatives: Our strategy is delivering results CASK-equivalent1 (US cents) -20.4% 6,4 6,2 6,1 2012 2013 2014 CASK-equivalent1 ex –fuel (US cents) 4,8 2015 Fuel Cost ASK-equivalent1 (US cents) -12.0% 4,2 2012 4,1 4,0 2013 2014 3,5 2015 -37.1% 2,2 2,1 2,0 2012 2013 2014 ¹ASK-equivalent is the sum of passenger ASKs and the quotient of cargo ATK and 0.095 (including LAN and TAM cargo operations) 1,3 2015 14 Business Unit Overview 15 LATAM´s business units provide a diverse revenue stream International Passenger LTM Rev 24 destinations 14.2 million passengers 42% US$ 4.3bn LTM Domestic Brazil 40 destinations 32.1 million passengers 23% US$2.4bn LTM Cargo LTM Rev 143 destinations 1.0 million tons 13% US$ 1.3bn LTM LTM Rev Domestic SSC LTM Rev 71 destinations 17% 5 countries 21.5 million passengers US$ 1.7bn LTM FFP Multiplus: 14,2 million members Lanpass: 11.3 million members Data as of December 31, 2015 LATAM Airlines Group Total Revenues US$ 10,126 mm 16 International Passenger Business Unit Market Facts 2015 $ Operations % of Total revenues 4.3 42% Passengers (MM) 14.1 2015 revenues (US$ Bn) Change (%) % of Total ASKs Capacity (ASK millions) 4% 52% 69.750 65.539 # of aircrafts Unit Revenue (RASK US$ cents) 7,6 5,9 17.089 118 2014 2015 2014 2015 Market Share (%) (US – S. America) 24% (Europe – S. America) 12% 43% (Regional) 17 Domestic Brazil Passenger Business Unit Market Facts 2015 $ Operations % of Total revenues 2.4 23% Passengers (MM) 32.1 Change (%) -4% % of Total ASKs 32% 2015 revenues (US$ Bn) Capacity (ASK millions) 43.561 42.478 Unit Revenue (RASK US$ cents) 8,6 5,9 # of aircrafts 10.948 120 2014 Market Share (%) 2015 2014 2015 37% 18 Spanish Speaking Countries (“SSC”) Passenger Business Unit Market Facts 2015 $ Operations % of Total revenues 1.7 17% Passengers (MM) 21.5 2015 revenues (US$ Bn) Capacity (ASK millions) Unit Revenue (RASK US$ cents) 4% Change (%) % of Total ASKs 16% 9,1 8,3 5.595 73 # of aircrafts 22.073 21.010 2014 2015 2014 2015 Market Share (%) 25% 75% 22% 33% 62% 19 Cargo Business Unit Market Facts 2015 $ Operations % of Total revenues 1.3 13% Tons(MM) 1.0 2015 revenues (US$ Bn) Change (%) # of aircrafts Capacity (ATK millions) Unit Revenue (RASK US$ cents) -9,0% 11 7.220 7.083 23,7 18,8 1.767 Market Share (%) (US – Latin America) (Europe – Latin America) Domestic Brazil 39% 24% 54% 2014 2015 2014 2015 20 Outlook for 2016 Guidance ASK Growth ATK Growth Operating Margin Assumptions Average exchange rate BRL/USD Jet Fuel Price (US$/bl) 2016 International (Long Haul & Regional) Brazil Domestic SSC domestic TOTAL 3% - 5% (8%) –(10%) 6% - 8% (1%) - 2% 0% - (2%) 4.5% / 6.5% 4.25 52 The Company will continue to review capacity in markets where demand has been most impacted during this year, but at the same time will continue to pursue growth opportunities in specific markets. 21 Financial Overview 22 Our 2015 operating margin grew 1% (US$ Millions) FY2015 FY2014 Change Total Operating Revenues 10,126 12,471 -18.8% 8,411 1,329 10,380 1,713 -19.0% -22.4% -9,612 -11,958 -19.6% Operating Income 514 513 0.1% Operating Margin 5.1% 4.1% 1.0pp -219 -110 99.6% -468 -130 260.0% 1,973 2,026 -2.6% 19.5% 16.2% 3.2pp Passenger Cargo Total Operating Costs Net Income Foreign exchange gains/(losses) EBITDAR EBITDAR Margin Source: LATAM Financial Statements 23 Revised Fleet Commitments 2016 - 2018 Fleet Commitments, March 2015 1.688 2015 2.343 2.471 2.903 2016 2017 2018 1.952 1.409 1.486 2016 2017 2018 391 1,062 1,417 Ʃ (2016-2018) =US$7,7bn Current Fleet Commitments¹, March 2016 1.688 2015 Fleet Commitments Reduction (US$mm) ¹The plan above may vary as the Company advances with its ongoing negotiations. Ʃ (2016-2018) =US$4,8bn 2,870 24 Fleet Plan 2016 - 2018 Total aircraft at the end of the year1 329 327 11 10 76 76 +24 aircraft 336 345 8 8 81 82 +20 aircraft -22 aircraft +20 aircraft -11 aircraft -13 aircraft 240 243 247 255 2015 2016 2017 2018 Fleet Commitments (US$mm) 1,689 Narrow Body 1,952 ¹The plan above may vary as the Company advances with its ongoing negotiations. Wide Body Freighters 1,409 1,486 25 2016 Fleet Financing Distribution 2.0 billion fleet commitments already financed for 2016 18% 59% 23% EETC 2015 -1 Financial Lease Sale& Leaseback/ Operating Lease EETC 2015-1: ~USD 324 Million (A321, A350, B787) Commercial Loan: ~USD 456 Million (A350/A320N) Sale & Leaseback and Operating leases: ~USD 1,170 Million (A321, B787) 26 LATAM Debt Profile Debt by currency as of December 31, 2015 Debt by type as of December 31, 2015 Secured Loans 21% USD * Unsecured Loans 79% 100% Total Debt: US$9,1mm Debt maturity profile (US$MM) as of December 31, 20151 Secured debt 4.106 Unsecured debt 1.466 1.292 924 800 2016 2017 2018 2019 ¹The debt maturity profile does not include PDF. >2020 27 LATAM Financial Ratios Cash and Equivalents as % of LTM revenues 20,5% 10,0% 8,5% 1.120 19,3% 2.532 208 185 2012 2013 Cash Buffer 14,0% 14,5% 12,3% 13,4% 1.534 1.361 210 105 2015 2014 Caja + Buffer Caja Adjusted Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDAR 7.2x 4.9x 2012 2013 5.5x 2014 5.8x 2015 28 Fuel and FX exposure LATAM has hedged 48% of its estimated fuel consumption for 2016 Portfolio 2015 Portfolio 2016 63% 27% 27% 37% 27% 1Q16 2Q16 3Q16 LATAM FX rate composition (%) Others BRL USD 100% 13% 29% 58% Revenue ¹Company estimates as of December, 2015 Others BRL USD 100% 12% 23% 65% 11% 4Q16 Operating exposure1 Gap between revenues and costs in BRL of 6 p.p., between US$600 to 700 mm. The Company has a financial hedge of US$616 mm at an average rate of BRL 3.89 per USD. Cost 29 Thank You London, May, 2016
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