CHUVA Project
Transcrição
CHUVA Project
A NOWCASTING SYSTEM USING SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA: THE CHUVA PROJECT EXPERIENCE Luiz Augusto Machado Chuva Science Team CHUVA Project: Cloud processes of tHe main precipitation systems in Brazil: A contribUtion to cloud resolVing modeling and to the GPM (GlobAl Precipitation Measurement) 6 CHUVA Project: Main Goals WORKING GROUP–1: CHARACTERISTICS OF THE PRECIPITATING SYSTEMS AS FUNCTION OF THE REGION AND LIFE STAGE (Luiz Machado) WORKING GROUP–2: PRECIPITATION ESTIMATION – DEVELOPMENT AND VALIDATION ALGORITHM (Daniel Vila) WORKING GROUP–3: ELETRIFICATION PROCESS: MOVING FROM CLOUDS TO THUNDERSTORMS (Carlos Morales) WORKING GROUP–4: CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER FOR DIFFERENT CLOUD PROCESSES AND PRECIPITATION REGIMES (Gilberto Fisch) WORKING GROUP–5: MODEL IMPROVEMENTS AND VALIDATION, WITH FOCUS IN CLOUD MICROPHYSICS AND AEROSOL INTERACTIONS, FOR SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES IN BRAZIL (Maria SilvaDias) • Contributes to Improve Rainfall Estimation Using Satellites and/or Radar • Contributes to Improve Skill of Cloud Resolving Models • Develop a Cloud Process Climatology of the Main Precipitation Systems in Brazil. • Develop Tools for Nowcasting. CHUVA Field Campaign Schedule CHUVA Portal: http://chuvaproject.cptec.inpe.br/portal/en/ Field Campaign and SOS System Fortaleza Campaign – System running in Civil Defense Risk areas (flood, landslide) FORTALEZA SYSTEM Flooding simulation Risk areas FORTALEZA SYSTEM Belem Campaign – Running in Meteorological Department at the University Together with Weather Service and Amazonas Surveillance System BELÉM SYSTEM Severe Weather Monitoring System (SOS) SOS -Chuva Project CHUVA Project provides the SOS system, it is a pilot project for integrating environmental information enabling the optimization and assist planing of Defense Civil actions. GOES-R Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM): Pre-Launch Algorithm Validation-CHUVA Campaign Report Contribution to the CHUVA Campaign XPOL radar S-Band radars lightning satellite forecast São José dos Campos System – sources of information XPOL radar – 100km radius (ring every 25km) XPOL and S-Band (yellow) radar 250km radius (ring every 50km) XPOL, S-Band and S-Band (orange) radars - 250km radius (ring every 50km) Last Three Days Rainfall - Colors represent the warming status (as defined by Civil Defence) Rainfall data + cartography map = fast assimilation of current situation Each point contain information about rainfall accumulated in 3 days System can also provide a list of neighborhoods sorted by rainfall New Features being Introduced in SOS/ForTraCC • Multichannel Satellite Winds – Inner Cloud Top Structures High resolution winds computed from Brightness Temperature Difference Convective Cloud Top Features.(submitted to IJRS - Negri, Machado, Borde) • Lightning Parameterization – ForTraCC Parameterization as function of size, TB and Area expansion been including in Fortracc (Mattos and Machado – ICAE 2011) • The use of Brightness Temperature Difference To classify Cloud Reflectivity Profile (Lima and Machado, submitted to IJRS) Figure 5. Histogramas das diferenças a) BTD10.8-3.9n, b) BTD10.8-3.9d , c) BTD6.2-10.8, d) BTD8.7- 10.8 , e e) BTD10.8-12 para os seis centróides Bright Band Stratiform Clouds. New Features being Introduced in SOS/ForTraCC • Rain Cells Propagation • Radar Severity Index VIL ( kg / m ²) DVIL ( g / m ³) MAXREF ( dBZ ) ALTMAXREF + + + 5 × 21 5 × 1, 4 5 × 52 5 × 3 ,6 ALTWALDVOG EL ( km ) 5 × 4 ,2 ÍNDICE • = ( km ) + Rain Cells Cloud Top Rate and Area Expansion – Dynamic Severity Index Conclusions • CHUVA nowcasting test bed is proving the efficiency of free access of real time data and products to the population. • SOS-ForTraCC is being tested and validaded showing very promise results. • New products and different access levels (Science, Civil Defense and Population) to SOS Fortracc is a very important tool for science and disaster reduction effects. Thank You Next CHUVA Campaign – NovemberDecember 2012 – Southern Brazil
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