Presentation APIMEC 2009
Transcrição
Presentation APIMEC 2009
Presentation APIMEC 2009 São Paulo – September 10th, 2009 1 Disclaimer Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains estimates and forward-looking statements regarding our strategy and opportunities for future growth. Such information is mainly based on our current expectations and estimates or projections of future events and trends, which affect or may affect our business and results of operations. Although we believe that these estimates and forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, they are subject to several risks and uncertainties and are made in light of information currently available to us. Our estimates and forward-looking statements may be influenced by the following factors, among others: (1) general economic, political, demographic and business conditions in Brazil and particularly in the geographic markets we serve; (2) inflation, depreciation and devaluation of the real; (3) competitive developments in the ethanol and sugar industries; (4) our ability to implement our capital expenditure plan, including our ability to arrange financing when required and on reasonable terms; (5) our ability to compete and conduct our businesses in the future; (6) changes in customer demand; (7) changes in our businesses; (8) government interventions resulting in changes in the economy, taxes, rates or regulatory environment; and (9) other factors that may affect our financial condition, liquidity and results of our operations. The words “believe”, “may”, “will”, “estimate”, “continue”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “expect” and similar words are intended to identify estimates and forward-looking statements. Estimates and forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they were made and we undertake no obligation to update or to review any estimate and/or forward-looking statement because of new information, future events or other factors. Estimates and forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance. Our future results may differ materially from those expressed in these estimates and forward-looking statements. In light of the risks and uncertainties described above the estimates and forward-looking statements discussed in this presentation might not occur and our future results and our performance may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking statements due to, inclusive, but not limited to the factors mentioned above. Because of these uncertainties you should not make any investment decision based on these estimates and forward-looking statements. 2 Agenda 1. Introduction to Management 2. Enhanced Business Model 3. COSAN – Results 1Q'10 3 Introduction to Management Marcelo Martins - CFO and Investors Relations Officer Luiz Felipe Jansen – Investor Relations Manager 4 Agenda 1. Introduction to Management 2. Enhanced Business Model 3. COSAN – Results 1Q'10 5 Cosan Group A History of Growth and Innovation Crushing Capacity (MM Tons) 2009 • Greenfield Projects • Cogeneration 70,0 2007 2005 • IPO ($400MM) 60,0 • CZZ $1.2Bn NYSE IPO 60.0 • 10Y Bonds ($400MM) • IFC loan • Alliance with Kuok Group 2008 • Vertical integration 2006 50,0 • Perpetual Bonds ($450MM) 45.0 • Ibovespa index 2004 2000 40,0 2002 • Cosan S.A. officially established • Da Barra acquisition • Alliance with Tereos and Sucden 30,0 Inaugural Bonds ($200MM) 38.8 40.0 40.0 2006 2007 31.5 30.3 1997-1999 20,0 • Partnership with Tate & Lyle 1936 • Santos port concession Foundation of Costa Pinto 10,0 19.1 15.6 9.5 7.5 4.0 0,0 1936 1986 1988 2000 2001 2002 2004 2005 2008 2009E 2012E 6 Strong Growth Potential Scale, Know-how and Efficiency The Brazilian sugar and ethanol market is very fragmented. COSAN is the largest player and is responsible for only 9.3% of the market, 3x larger than the 2nd place Brazilian Market Share Consolidation in Related sectors in Brazil Market Share of Top 5 Companies (1) Sugarcane crushed in 2008/2009 Oil 100.0% Beer 97.0% 9.3% Soybean 95.0% Santelisa Vale 3.1% Louis Dreyfus 2.4% Guarani 2.4% Steel(2) 93.0% Orange Juice(2) 91.5% Moema 2.2% Cement 80.0% Usaçúcar 2.2% Dairy 77.4% Alto Alegre 2.2% Pulp 72.6% Carlos Lyra 2.1% Others 69.7% São Martinho 2.1% Tércio Wanderley 1.8% Paper 48.7% Ethanol & Sugar 18.7% 0% Source: Datagro, COSAN 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Note: (1) Beer. steel data as of 2005; orange juice as of 2004; cement. dairy. pulp and. paper as of 2003; soybean as of 2000 (2) Percentage based on the four top players in the sector 7 Division in Production Clusters Creation of another cluster with incorporation of NA Jat Fernandópolis 2.8 Mtc 2 Barra, DC, Dia Orlândia 4 Bonf, Tam, Serra 5 Junqueira Dest Ben Mund Catanduva Univ Araçatuba Ribeirão Preto 8.2 Mtc Jaboticabal Bonf Dracena 6.6 Mtc 3 Ipaussu Franca Barretos S. J. do Rio Preto Gal. Salgado 55 Km Andradina Lins Tupã 11.0 Mtc 49 Km Marília Pres. Prudente Baurú Diam 8 Goiás DC 9 Nova America Limeira Jaú Mogi Mirim Barra CoPi AssisMar USH Piracicaba UBR Ourinhos 7 Gasa Serra Par Tar 6 Univ, Dest, Mund, Ben S. J. da Boa Vista Tam Araraquara Botucatu Raf IASF Ipau 23 Km Pres. Venceslau 1 IASF, Raf, UBR, USH, Copi Junq Votuporanga 2.8 Mtc Gasa MS Clusters Par Jales Greenfield in MS Mont Bragança Paulista Guaratinguetá Campinas Pindamonhangaba 10.7 Mtc Avaré Itapetininga 11.6 Mtc Mogi das Cruzes Sorocaba São Paulo Itapeva Registro Notes: *Tar: Tarumã; Mar: Maracaí; Par: Parálcool Santos Ilha de São Sebastião (Ilha Bela) Changing Business Model Initiatives to add stable cash flow stream Cosan Açúcar e Álcool Cosan Bioenergia Cosan Combustíveis e Lubrificantes Radar Rumo Logística 9 Innovation to Face a Changing Environment Selective Actions shall Imply in a Broader Business Model COMMERCIALIZATION (Retail – da BARRA sugar) SUGAR & ETHANOL PRODUCTION Cosan S.A. Plantation Crushing Production 1. POWER CO-GENERATION (Ongoing Project) 2. SUGAR LOGISTICS (Rumo) 3. ETHANOL PIPELINE (Uniduto) 4. FUEL DISTRIBUTION (Esso) 10 Cogeneration of Energy Projects Already Operating or Under Construction Caarapó Jataí Paraúna Costa Pinto Bonfim Univalem Local da indú indústria a aún Paraú Aprox. 3 km Barra Diamante Ponte de Pedra MT Estrada de acesso a Paraú Paraúna DF GO Gasa Serra MG MS ES Rafard Tarumã SP Ipaussu Source: Cosan Serra Costa Pinto Rafard Gasa Tarumã Maracaí Bonfim Barra Jataí Caarapó Ipaussu Diamante Univalem Paraúna TOTAL Crushing Capacity (MM tons) 1.8 4.0 2.2 3.8 4.5 3.8 5.0 7.8 4.0 2.3 2.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 50.7 Installed Capacity (MW) 15.0 75.0 50.0 82.0 22.5 46.7 111.0 136.0 105.0 76.0 62.0 32.0 42.0 123.0 978.2 Saleable Energy (MWh) 35.0 193.4 124.2 256.4 25.0 130.0 314.9 453.6 341.1 205.9 188.0 99.3 122.4 206.9 2,696.1 RJ EBITDA 2010E (R$MM) 4.3 29.5 18.7 39.4 3.3 14.3 40.9 18.2 14.5 19.0 202.0 EBITDA (Steady State) (R$MM) 4.3 29.5 18.7 39.4 3.3 14.3 43.2 61.1 46.6 28.6 25.4 13.9 17.2 48.9 394.2 Maracaí 11 Cogeneration of Energy Environmental Licenses Status Preliminary License Installation License Operating License 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q Operational Serra – Fase 1 Costa Pinto Rafard Gasa – Fase 1 Tarumã Maracaí Under Constructing Gasa – Fase 2 Jataí Barra – Fase 1 Bonfim Caarapó Initial Developments Barra – Fase 2 Univalem Diamante Ipaussu Paraúna Under Constructing Source: Cosan Commissioning Operational 12 Cogeneration of Energy Adding a Stable Cash Flow Stream of R$500MM/year to Cosan Cosan: Energy Potential Through Cogeneration Potential Projects Actual Projects 62,4 MM tons R$3,9bi 1,285 MW 3,628 GWh R$605 MM 50,7 MM tons R$515 MM 978 MW R$2,4bi 2,696 GWh R$464 MM R$394 MM Crushing Capacity CAPEX Installed Power Capacity Salable Energy Revenue EBITDA Notes: -Estimates subject to changes -Average days of 189 days per crop, with 83% of crushing capacity -Non-contracted Energy Price: R$150.00 -EBITDA Margin of 85% Source: Cosan 13 Sugar Logistics – Rumo Logística The Largest Sugar Port in the World is born … and will grow further Cosan Portuária Teaçú Port Terminal (Nova América) Loading Capacity of 40,000 metric ton per day Largest sugar throughput port terminal in Brazil: 3.5M ton (23% of Brazilian exports) in 06/07 Static capacity 210K ton Static capacity of 225K tons • Annual shipment capacity of 4 million tons of grains + • Highly automated operating processes (from the moment the truck leaves the mill until it reaches the port) - Current loading capacity of 10.0M tons, and static capacity of 435K tons FURTHER GROWTH With a R$30MM investment postintegration, the port terminal will have 3 wharves and 5 ship loaders being the largest bulk terminal for agricultural products in the world, with total annual loading capacity of 18M tons 14 Rumo The best alternative for sugar producers located in the SP state… Rumo’s one-stop-shop proposition for sugar producers in the SP region Sugar Mills Center South – largest sugar exporter in the world Hubs Located on rail network close to main roads Railroad Long-term contract with ALL at highly competitive costs Port Largest bulk sugar port terminal in the world since 1997 Rumo’s Investments Wagons Locomotives Acquisition of up to 79 locomotives 45min to unload Railroad < 1min to unload Wagons designed to increase productivity Duplication, expansion and improvements of the existing railway lines 15 Rumo and ALL agreement will dramatically transform the sugar export industry in Brazil… Railway Belt: ALL Agreement Fernandópolis São José do Rio Preto Santa Adélia Araçatuba Pitangueiras Pradópolis Araraquara Jaú Tupã Itirapina Sumaré Investments of R$1.2 bln and volumes of 9 MM tons of sugar / year São Paulo Santos Rumo loading stations Guaranteed competitive Tariffs Rental fees in proportion with volumes transported Rail corridor to be duplicated Rail corridor to be improved Comparison of major bulk sugar terminals in Santos In M tons of annual loading capacity 18.0 Capacity after expansion Operating at full capacity Operating at almost full capacity Has already transferred some volume to Rumo’s terminal in 2009/2010 10.0 Source: Williams Agência Marítima and Cosan. 3.3 3.0 16 Ethanol Pipeline – Uniduto CCC Consortium assures ethanol volume to the pipeline Ribeirão Preto (road-rail) 155.000 m 3 155,000 Storage Base ( location, type & capacity) Distribution base Pipes (length & diameter ) 235 km Ø = 20” Monobóia (exports “off-shore”) Output:11 bi liters 114 km Ø = 24” Paulínia (road-rail) 100,000 m 3 127 km Ø = 30” Output:16 bi liters Conchas (river -rail) 155.000 m 3 155,000 36 km Ø = 16” Juquiratiba (rail) 20.000 m 3 20,000 Output:24.7 bi liters Campinas São Paulo 106 km Ø = 24” Output:14.2 bi liters Santos -CING (road) 220.000 m 3 220,000 Taboão da Serra (road) 170.000 m 3 170,000 Serra do Mar - Creation of of Uniduto Logística S.A., a JV among Cosan, Copersucar and Crystalsev - Uniduto to develop, construct and operate an ethanol pipeline network linking the port terminal on the coast of Santos, SP, and the city of Paulínia, with arms to the cities of Conchas & Ribeirão Preto - The ethanol pipeline shall reduce logistics costs by 35% to 40% (from R$95/m3 to R$57/m3, RP region) 17 CCL’s Business Segments Unique base on Fuel Marketing, Lubes and Distribution Fuels Marketing 4.6 billion liters sold in 2008 Dealer network of 1,458 retail stations (1) Relative Contribuição Contribution Lubricants Long-term agreement for the use of Supported by strategically located Gross Profit Breakdown (1) Esso and Mobil brands and formulations as of March 2009 (1) Oil blending plant in Rio de Janeiro, Others (Convenience Stores and Rentals) 10.6% with 1.4 MBy capacity (225 million distribution assets Long-term agreements for the use of “Esso”, “Stop & Shop” and “Hungry Fuels Marketing 57.9% liters/year) 129 million liters sold in 2008 Tiger” brands Lubricants 31.5% Supply & Distribution Assets Lubricants Assets 45 terminals with total throughput of 14.8 billion liters S&D Fuels Distribution contributed with almost 60% of 12-month CCL’s Gross Profit, while Lubes Division contributed with 30% Rio de Janeiro Blending Plant and Base Oil Terminal States With Retail Operations Note: (1) Figures for FY’09. Excludes aviation business 18 Well Established Operations... ... Now Refueled by Cosan ExxonMobil’s Legacy Strong Franchise High Operating Efficiency Established Retail Distribution (Monthly m3 per Station in 2008) Brand Shell + Innovation Operational Excellence 285 BR 227 221 Chevro n 18 5 Ipiranga Human Capital + 238 States with Esso’s Gas Stations Source: Sindicom Integration with Cosan: Clear Strategy + Focus on Core Business CCL’s Market Share (1) Number of Retail Stations Acquisition by Cosan (% - ANP) 5 .8 % 2008: 5.3% 5 .4 % 5 .3 % Jan-08 5 .4 % 5 .3 % 5 .3 % 5 .2 % Mar-08 (EoP) May-08 5 .5 % 5 .4 % Jul-08 5 .3 % 5 .4 % 5 .4 % Sep-08 5 .5 % 5 .3 % Nov-08 Mar-09 +150 1,6 3 7 5 .4 % 5 .4 % Jan-09 +150 5 .9 % May-09 2006 1,7 5 8 1,5 9 9 2007 1,6 0 8 1,4 5 8 1,4 5 8 2008 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Source: Sindicom Note: (1) ANP has not released NGV volumes for 2009 19 Lubricants Division Increasing Market Share on Premium Products Growing Concentration on Premium Products Consistent Growth in Market Share As of Mar’09 Lubes Volume Sold (MM Liters ) 25.2% CAGR 06-08 107 16.2% 15.5% 11.2% 49 12.6% 11.7% 10.5% 10.6% 11.2% 7.7% Others Petronas 57 Shell 2006 2007 2008 M ar'09 Ultra (2) Texaco Petrobrás 2006 (1) 9.8% 115 129 (2.1%) 46 47 19.9% 69 82 2007 Premium 2008 Competitive Source: Sindicom Strategic Alliances with Global OEMs Solid Growth Direct / Non-Branded 587,0 416,9 Direct / Branded 479,3 Distributor / Branded Direct / Non-Branded Direct / Non-Branded 2006 2007 2008 155,1 150,4 1T'09 1T'10 Net Revenues (R$ MM) Notes: (1) Includes Mobil and Esso brand and unbranded lubes (2) Ipiranga Brand 20 Integration in the Ethanol Value Chain Leveraging on the Benefits of Vertical Integration Strong Geographic Overlap with Cosan’s Mills Reducing Transportation Costs Before Station Mills Terminals Station Mills Terminals Station After Station Mills (Cosan) Port (Cosan) L&S (CCL) States With Retail Operations (CCL) S&D (CCL) Ethanol Diesel Empty One Step Ahead of the Industry Growth of ethanol will require distribution bases to move towards mills over time – CCL: already integrated with Cosan’s mills Unique position in Santos’ port terminal and in logistics: opportunity to ship ethanol to the Northeast (cabotage) Superior Market Intelligence Unique visibility on price formation and inventory levels • Cosan to continue supplying ethanol to a diversified client base • CCL to continue purchasing ethanol from multiple suppliers Joint trading desk at São Paulo office (integrated market vision / solutions) 21 Agenda 1. Introduction to Management 2. Enhanced Business Model 3. COSAN – Results 1Q'10 22 Cosan Group An overview Overview Revenue Breakdown Cosan S.A.: Long history as a leading ethanol and sugar high-growth company with low-cost, large-scale and integrated operations in Brazil 1Q’09 1Q’10 Largest grower and processor of sugarcane in the world Largest ethanol and sugar producer in Brazil and third largest in the world Sugar; 55% Others; 7% CCL - Others; 1% CAA - Sugar; 18% CAA - Others; 3% CCL - Lubes; 4% Largest sugar exporter and one of the largest ethanol exporter in the world CAA Ethanol; 13% Ethanol; 38% Share Performance CCL - Fuels; 61% IPO in Bovespa (Novo Mercado) in 2005: U$ 400MM Current Market Cap of approximately R$7.6 billions 7,000 25 Price Volume Local; 41% 6,000 Export; 20% 5,000 15 R$ 4,000 3,000 10 2,000 5 Export; 59% Local; 80% 1,000 Au g09 Ju l-0 9 Ju n09 09 M ay - 09 Ap r- 09 M ar - Fe b09 0 Ja n09 ec -0 8 0 D Shares ('000) 20 23 Cosan Group Growth Evolution Sugarcane Crushed Crushing cane of 43.1 million tones of sugar cane in 2008/09 crop. Estimative of 56 million tones for 2009/10 crop; (MM Tons) 60 Strong growth in sugar and ethanol sales in the last years; 56.0 50 40.3 40 Sugar business sales breakdown: Local 17.1%; Exports 82.9% 36.2 30 Ethanol business sales breakdown: 23.8 26.6 27.9 FY'05 FY'06 17.3 20 13.0 10.6 Local 67.7%; Exports 32.3% 43.1 10 0 FY'01 FY'02 FY'03 Sugar Sales FY'08 FY'09 FY'10E (MM liters) 3,500 3,241 1,800 3,147 3,052 2,500 2,184 2,000 2,322 1,568 1,600 3,000 1,000 FY'07 Ethanol Sales (‘000 Tons) 1,200 1,016 1,000 825 763 800 1,264 1,496 1,322 1,400 2,469 1,797 1,500 FY'04 757 578 989 975 600 400 500 283 354 200 0 0 FY'01 FY'02 FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 Local FY'06 Exports FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 1Q'10 FY'01 FY'02 FY'03 FY'04 FY'05 FY'06 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 1Q'10 24 Local Exports Cosan Group Financials R$MM, unless otherwise mentioned FY’08 Net Operating Revenue (-) Cost of Goods Sold of which Depreciation & Amortization (=) Gross Profit Gross Margin (-) Selling Expenses (-) G&A Expenses 2,736.2 (2,387.1) (341.3) 349.0 12.8% (301.3) (210.2) (6.0) 172.9 6.3% 224.8 397.8 13.4% 284.3 6.6 (201.4) 10.0 (69.0) 18.7 2.5 (47.8) -1.7% (=) (=) (=) (=) Other Operating Income (Expenses) EBITDA EBITDA Margin Hedge Gains (Losses) EBITDAH (Ajust. by Hedge) EBITDAH Margin Financial Income, net Equity Income Goodwill Amortization Nonoperating Results Profit (Loss) Before Taxes Income Taxes Minority's Participation Net Profit (Loss) Profit Margin FY’09 6,270.1 (5,470.7) (427.2) 799.4 12.7% (432.6) (275.9) 199.9 718.0 11.5% 277.7 765.7 12.1% (817.4) 14.0 (196.5) (709.1) 234.7 0.6 (473.8) -7.6% 1Q’10 3,566.1 (3,198.4) (169.9) 367.7 10.3% (209.6) (89.3) 72.5 311.2 8.7% 160.8 472.0 12.7% 433.4 (3.6) (85.6) 485.6 (157.9) 9.6 337.3 9.5% 25 Cosan Financial Highlights Consolidated Net Revenues R$ MM Consolidated Net Revenues l (R$MM) 3,566 6,270 Price (US$/tons) 3,106 2,445 2,736 2,736 Exports Volume ('000 tons) 3,605 3,605 Net Revenues Sugar FX Rate (R$/US$) Local 3,183 640 1,147 Volume ('000 tons) Price (R$/tons) FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 CAA 1Q'09 1Q'10 CCL Ethanol Exports Volume ('000 m3) Net Revenues of R$ 3.57 billions, 458% higher compared to 1Q’09; Price (US$/m3) FX Rate (R$/US$) Local Volume ('000 m3) CCL invoiced 2.4 billions in 1Q’10, around 68% of total revenues Price (R$/m3) Fuels FY’09* 1Q’10 2,736.2 6,270.1 3,566.1 1,428.7 1,805.1 651.0 1,181.2 1,571.3 514.5 2,663.0 2,693.2 819.2 444 583 302.4 1.828 2.315 2.077 247.5 233.8 136.6 484.1 358.5 169.3 511 652 806.5 1,119.1 1,176.0 479.5 310.4 401.0 165.5 415.5 456.4 244.1 747 879 326.5 1.828 2.315 2.077 808.7 775.1 314.0 1,152.9 1,038.7 512.6 701 746 612.5 7,900.6 8,335.5 2,275.5 Volume ('000 m3) 4,539.9 4,640.6 1,372.1 Price (US$/m3) 1,740.3 1,796.2 1,658.5 479.3 587.0 150.4 115.1 128.9 29.7 Lubes Volume (milhões liters) Price (R$ / '000 liters) * Consolidation of CCL not included FY’08* 4,164.2 4,553.9 5,070.6 Others CAA 188.4 202.3 98.9 Others CCL 843.4 1,020.8 18.8 Elimination of Consolidation - - (108.0) 26 Cosan Financial Highlights Consolidated EBITDA EBITDA and EBITDA Margin EBITDA Breakdown 1Q’09 25.8% 11.5% 6.7% 4.6% 930 219 Others 3% 29 FY'08 FY'09 CCL CAA - Sugar & Ethanol 60% 92.4 654 183 CAA CCL 30% 311 718 64.5 FY'07 1Q’10 8.7% 1Q'09 Sugar & Ethanol 100% 1Q'10 CAA Cogeneration 7% Margem EBITDA 1Q’10 EBITDA Reconciliation EBITDA of R$311.2 million, 965.8% higher than 1Q’09, with CCL EBITDA of R$92.4 million. (R$MM) Net Financial Expenses of R$433.4 million, benefited by exchange variation and positive results with derivatives for commodities and FX, following the hedge strategy of the company. 160.8 92.4 472.0 Net Income of R$337.3 million and profit margin of 9.5%. 36.5 85.9 (86.7) 311.2 7.8 99.9 46.2 29.2 EBITDA 1Q’09 Volume Price FX Rate Costs SG&A Others CCL EBITDA 1Q’10 Hedge EBITDAH 1Q’10 27 Financial Highlights - Sugar Volume & Avg. Unit Price Net Revenues (‘000 Tons – R$ / ton) (R$MM) 454 683 592 659 445 651 2,214 989 3,147 3,241 2,803 3,052 2,663 2,693 688 438 484 359 104 169 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 1Q'09 1Q'10 Exports 295 341 248 234 58 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 1Q'09 Local Avg. Unit Price 137 1Q'10 Exports Unit Gross Margin (R$MM – R$ / ton) (R$MM) 396 430 36.3% 430 431 1,313 1,247 27.3% 33,7% 12.7% 436 1,409 515 1,571 1,181 COGS & Avg. Unit Cost 435 352 1,873 819 Local 1,805 1,429 792 3.4% 248 222 341 161 58 15 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 COGS 1Q'09 1Q'10 Avg. Unit Cost FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 Unit Gross Margin 1Q'09 1Q'10 Gross Mg. % 28 Financial Highlights - Ethanol Volume & Avg. Unit Price Net Revenues (MM liters – R$ / ‘000 liters) 897 (R$MM) 714 787 244 456 1,153 1,047 1,039 1,119 1,176 310 401 809 775 480 757 1,495 416 275 634 1,186 1,568 1,322 714 297 166 242 82 339 115 513 888 314 160 224 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 Local 1Q'09 Exports 1Q'10 FY'07 FY'08 Local Avg. Unit Price COGS & Avg. Unit Cost 1Q'09 1Q'10 Exports Unit Gross Margin (R$MM – R$ / ‘000 liters) 679 FY'09 (R$MM) 728 636 721 546 717 10.9% 7.4% 78 58 218 1,089 997 24.3% 898 243 (3) FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 1Q'09 1Q'10 FY'07 FY'08 FY'09 1Q'09 1Q'10 - 0 ,4 % (87) COGS Avg. Unit Cost Unit Gross Margin Gross Mg. % - - 13 , 8 % 29 Financial Highlights - CCL Net Revenues (1) Net Revenues by Product (1) 1Q'09 2,548 8,559 417 59 8,083 8,440 479 60 7,901 8,986 587 64 155 2,445 17 150 2,375 8,336 1Q'10 Gasoline 37% 19 2,276 Others 7% Lubes 6% Others 12% Lubes 6% Ethanol 6% Diesel 39% Ethanol 6% 2006 2007 2008 Fuels 1Q'09 Gasoline 36% Diesel 45% 1Q'10 Lubes Others Lucro Bruto e Margem Bruta (%) EBITDA e Margem EBITDA (2) (1) (R$MM) (R$MM) 6.9% 6.9% 6.6% 5.7% 579 60 168 488 59 127 616 64 201 168 17 52 3.8% 7.7% 187 19 2.8% 52 1.6% 145 257 3.0% 298 65 92 7 302 351 351 98 117 2006 2007 2008 1Q'09 1Q'10 Fuels Notes: (1) Excluding Aviation Business (2) Excluding non-recurring expenses Lubes Others Gross Margin 2006 Reported 232 2007 85 2008 1Q'10 Non-recurring EBITDA Margin 30 Financial Highlights Indebtedness Net Debt Debt per Type (R$MM) Perpetual Notes Senior Notes 2017 Senior Notes 2009 IFC FX Advances Pre-Export Contracts Promissory Notes BNDES Finame (BNDES) Working Capital Overdraft Credit Banking Note Debentures Credit Notes Expenses with Placement of Debt Gross Debt Cash & Marketable Securities Net Debt Debt Profile 4Q'08 774.2 686.6 60.4 99.0 14.8 6.0 31.9 (41.1) 1,631.8 1,010.1 621.7 4Q'09 1Q'10 1,054.1 888.6 936.7 803.3 86.5 71.1 114.3 98.8 143.3 152.1 121.3 1,162.0 1,198.2 230.5 360.1 44.7 222.7 25.2 24.5 0.1 0.3 216.8 157.8 343.2 (42.4) (34.3) 3,755.0 4,624.4 719.4 932.9 3,035.6 3,691.5 Debt Profile (R$MM) Total Debt Short-Term Long-Term Real - R$ Dollar - US$ 4Q'09 3,755.0 1,442.7 2,312.3 1,420.1 2,334.9 % 100.0 38.4 61.6 37.8 62.2 1Q'10 4,624.4 1,115.9 3,508.5 2,195.5 2,428.9 % 100.0 24.1 75.9 47.5 52.5 Indebtedness mix of 24:76 between short and long term do not reflect: the debt renegociation of R$ 1.1 billion assumed with acquisition of Nova América; corporate bond issue in CCL Finance totaling US$350 million to extend the maturity profile Out of the total of R$ 639 million to Jatai project and R$ 149 million for Gasa approved by BNDES, the inflow was R$ 50 MM. In addition, there were another R$ 80 MM for Bonfim. Net Debt / EBITDA (x) 5.7x 4.2x 3.7x 3.4x 2.98x 1.3x FY'07 Reported FY'08 FY'09 1Q'09 Using the EBITDA of LTM of CAA ended in June 30th, 2009, and 7-month period annualized of CCL and 1-month period annualized of NovAmerica , we obtain a Net Debt / EBITDA of 2.98x 1Q'10 12-month EBITDA * Excluding PESA and the FRNs 2018 31 Financial Highlights Investments Capex(R$MM) FY'08 l Sugar Cane Planting Costs 257.4 l Inter-harvest Maintenance Costs 155.0 l Cogeneration Projects 177.3 l Greenfield 93.9 l Projects CAA 369.5 l Projects CCL l Investments 160.5 (=) Investment Cash Flow 1,213.6 (=) Capex 1,053.1 (=) Operating Capex 781.9 FY'09 118.9 144.4 325.8 455.4 290.4 11.3 1.823.6 3,169.7 1,346.1 565.0 1Q'10 71.7 24.8 78.6 163.4 70.7 11.5 (58.5) 362.1 420.6 178.7 Greenfield: Jataí unit will begin crushing in September and Caarapó in October Cogeneration Projects: Copi and Rafard projects were finalized in FY’09, Gasa is in advanced stage. In 1Q’10, investments progress in Barra and Bonfim’s projects. Operating Capex: 15.4% higher than the previous year, specially due to the investments in Greenfield of Jatai, co-generation projects and planting activities. 32 Thank you! IR Contact Luiz Felipe Jansen IR Manager [email protected] Q&A Section 33
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